Report Suggests China’s Potential Expansion With Second Military Base In Africa

As global attention focuses on the United States grappling with its military operations in Niger, apprehensions mount regarding China’s potential establishment of a secondary military base in Africa. This conjecture arises amidst a backdrop where African leaders are increasingly vocal in articulating and asserting their priorities in dealings with both bilateral partners and multilateral organizations.

• There is growing concern that China may be planning to establish a second military base in Africa.
• According to a report by Chatham House, every Chinese foreign minister’s first overseas trip of the year has been to Africa.
• The report notes that the tradition continued this year with China’s foreign minister, Wang Yi, visiting Egypt, Tunisia, Togo and Côte d’Ivoire.
• This tour has fuelled discussions about China’s next military installation in Africa, despite none of these nations being previously considered as potential sites.

According to a report by Chatham House, every Chinese foreign minister’s first overseas trip of the year has been to Africa. The report notes that the tradition continued this year with China’s foreign minister, Wang Yi, visiting Egypt, Tunisia, Togo and Côte d’Ivoire. This tour has fuelled discussions about China’s next military installation in Africa, despite none of these nations being previously considered as potential sites.

Since 2012, China has been a significant player in Africa, primarily through extensive infrastructure projects, investments and diplomatic engagement. Known for its strategic patience and long-term planning, China adopted a different approach to aid from that of its Western counterparts by referring to recipients as ‘partners’ and using terms like ‘development assistance’ to avoid the traditional donor–recipient binary.

In 2017, China marked its military footprint in Africa after it opened a base in Djibouti, aiming to combat piracy operations and ensure freedom of navigation. According to the report, this base has over the years matured from a ‘resupply facility’ to a logistics facility, supported by up to two brigades of the People’s Liberation Army (PLA).

The report adds that the Houthi militants’ current attacks on commercial shipping in the Red Sea and a renewed attack by pirates on shipping in the waters off Somalia are proof that the strategic value of Djibouti and ensuring adjacent sea lines of communication such as the Bab al Mandab Strait remain navigable.

The report further explained that the balance between advancing security interests and respecting Africa’s sovereignty and development goals will likely define the future of China’s military presence on the continent. However, with the continent becoming an increasingly multipolar environment, China’s engagements in Africa, as evidenced by Wang Yi’s recent visits, may be more about signalling a continued commitment to the continent rather than concrete military expansion.